Provisional Entries for Summer 2019 GCSEs, AS, A levels, Skills Challenge Certificate, and Level 1/Level 2 Certificates for Wales.

An annual report which presents provisional data on Entries for Summer 2019 GCSEs, AS, A levels, Skills Challenge Certificate, and Level 1/Level 2 Certificates for Wales.

Release Date: Friday 24 May, 2019
Period covered: Summer 2019
Next Update: May 2020 (Provisional)

Key Points

GCSEs

  • An error was identified in the percentage change in total entries between summer 2019 and summer 2018 for GCSE Welsh Language and GCSE Welsh Literature originally published on 24 May 2019. This affected table 2 and the associated commentary. This has now been corrected. 
  • There were 303,635 GCSE entries for summer 2019. This is up by 4.5% compared to GCSE entries for summer 2018.
  • Year 10 and Year 13 and above were the year groups with the largest proportional increase in GCSE entries this summer compared to last year. The main driver for the overall increase in GCSE summer entries this year was the
    increase in Year 11 entries.
  • The increase in Year 11 is likely to be a consequence of the Welsh Government announcement made in October 2017 that first grades achieved during the 2017/18 school year by year 10 pupils or younger will be counted towards school performance measures. This increase in Year 11 entries follows a decrease in Year 10 entries seen in 2018.
  • Year 11 entries made up most of all GCSE entries for summer 2019 with 89.7% of entries from Year 11 learners. This proportion is unchanged from last summer.
  • There are three phases of reformed GCSEs approved for use in Wales being awarded this summer. 290,440 (95.7%) of the total summer 2019 entries were for these reformed qualifications.

AS level

  • There were 41,415 AS level entries for Wales for summer 2019, 8.0% fewer than for summer 2018 (44,995 entries).
  • This continues the decreasing trend for AS level entries in Wales since summer 2015, with Ofqual reporting 57,030 entries in summer 2015, and 52,620 entries in summer 2016 in their Summer 2017 Exam Entries release and 48,965 entries
    in summer 2017 reported in our previous release.
  • Year 12 had the largest number of entries, with 31,730 entries in summer 2019.
  • All year groups saw a decrease in entries this summer compared to summer 2018.
  • 39,890 entries (96.3%) of the total summer 2019 entries were for reformed qualifications approved for use in Wales.

A level

  • There were 31,925 A level entries for summer 2019, 5.1% fewer than in summer 2018 (33,640 entries).
  • This continues the decreasing trend for A level entries in Wales since summer 2015, with Ofqual reporting 38,480 entries in summer 2015, and 37,640 entries in summer 2016 in their Summer 2017 Exam Entries release and 35,525 entries
    in summer 2017 reported in our previous release.
  • Year 13 entries have decreased by 4.0% in summer 2019 (27,670 entries) compared to summer 2018 (28,810 entries).
  • Year 14 or above also saw a decrease of 11.6% in entries compared to last year.
  • 28,595 entries (89.6%) of the total summer 2019 entries were for reformed qualifications approved for use in Wales.

There are a number of factors that can influence why entries for year groups might change over time, for example changes to:

  • Population size;
  • Entry behavior e.g. when learners are entered for their GCSEs;
  • The number of qualifications of each type being taken on average;
  • The types of qualifications being taken in post-16.

As this release is based on counts of entries at qualification level it is not possible for us to quantify the impact of such factors. We have commented on factors influencing changes in entries only where we are confident that these factors are likely to be
associated with a change.

Note, the full release and corresponding data tables are available in the download box.

Contact

Statistician

Tel: 01633 373 253

Email: statistics@qualificationswales.org

Press

Tel: 01633 373 216

Email: comms@qualificationswales.org

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